Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy's content profile, based on 46 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Farida, H.; Hapsari, R.; Lestari, E. S.; Farhanah, N.; Roberts, A. P.; Graf, F. E.; Dacombe, R. E.; Moore, M. E.; Lewis, J. M.
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Background Carbapenem-resistant bacteria are a major global public health threat, classified as critical priority pathogens by the WHO. In Indonesia, despite a national antimicrobial resistance control programme established by the Ministry of Health in 2015, resistance rates continue to rise, including increasing carbapenem resistance among clinically important bacteria. Strengthening approaches to directly interrupt transmission is essential, yet transmission pathways remain poorly understood with limited research and policy guidance within the Indonesian context. Methods and analysis The INTERCEPT study is a UK-Indonesia multidisciplinary collaboration aiming to identify transmission routes of carbapenem-resistant bacteria across healthcare and community settings, and the mechanisms of resistance gene transfer between bacteria and mobile genetic elementss. We will conduct genomic surveillance of hospital inpatients, healthcare workers, hospital environments, and surrounding communities, including wastewater systems, combined with genomic analyses and mathematical transmission modelling. A cohort of patients with bloodstream infections will be recruited to evaluate resistant bacteria, treatment practices, and clinical outcomes. Qualitative research will explore behavioural and system-level factors influencing transmission and intervention implementation. Findings will inform stakeholder workshops to co-design context-specific interventions, with pilot intervention over 9 months with pre- and post-intervention assessment to guide scalable strategies to reduce AMR transmission. Discussion The INTERCEPT study addresses carbapenem resistance in Indonesia using an integrated approach combining microbiological surveillance, genomics, modelling, and qualitative methods. Strengths include cross-sectoral analysis (patients, workers, environment) and participatory intervention design. Limitations include geographic scope restricted to Central Java, Indonesia.
Pham, T. M.; Smith, J. T.; Mortimer, T. D.; Grad, Y.; Earl, A. M.; Lewis, I. A.; PRIME Consortium,
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Background Using a population-based cohort from the Calgary Health Zone (CHZ), Canada, we integrated longitudinal antimicrobial susceptibility and prescribing data with the whole genome sequences of five major pathogens. We aimed to assess how antimicrobial resistance (AMR) responds to prescribing changes and determine which bacterial strains shape these dynamics. Methods We analysed antibiotic prescribing rates, clinical and genomic data from 7,271 Staphylococcus aureus, 1,609 Enterococcus faecalis, 801 Enterococcus faecium, 11,363 Escherichia coli, and 2,319 Klebsiella pneumoniae isolates, associated with bacteraemia episodes in the CHZ between 2006-2022. Genomic clusters (referred to as strains) were identified using StrainGST and assigned to known sequence types (STs) or clonal complexes (CCs). Strain-level incidence, stratified by community-onset (isolates collected [≤]48h after admission) and hospital-onset (>48h after admission), AMR phenotypes, and prescribing rates were modelled using negative-binomial and binomial regression. Temporal trends were quantified using average annual percentage change (AAPC). Findings Between 2010-2022, fluoroquinolone prescribing declined in both community (AAPC=-6.8% [95% CI -8.1, -5.4]; p<0.0001) and hospital settings (AAPC=-5.1% [-6.5, -3.7]; p<0.0001). This was accompanied by a significant reduction in fluoroquinolone resistance among Gram-positive species. Specifically, S aureus bacteraemia resistant to clinically important antibiotics, cloxacillin, ciprofloxacin, erythromycin, and clindamycin, declined from 2006 to 2022, mostly in hospital-onset cases (AAPC=-16.0%, [-19.3%, -12.7%], p<0.0001). In E coli, ceftriaxone and ciprofloxacin resistance were clustered in ST131 and the emerging ST1193; the latter increased steadily, particularly in community-onset cases (AAPC=17.7%, [0.0%, 30.0%], p<0.0001). CTX-M-27-producing E coli ST131 strains increased (AAPC=23.8%, [17.4%, 30.5%], p<0.0001) between 20082022, while CTX-M-14-producing E coli ST131 declined (AAPC=-15.9%, [-21.3%, -10.2%], p<0.0001) between 2013-2022. These trends were paralleled by an increase in community cephalosporin prescribing (AAPC=7.3%, [4.2%, 10.5%], p<0.0001) between 2010-2022. For K pneumoniae, hypervirulent ST23 was most common (N=88) with an increasing trend in incidence (AAPC=3.0%, [-2.8%, 9.2%]) between 2006-2019. Conclusions The contrasting resistance trends between Gram-positive and Gram-negative species underscore the complexity of AMR control efforts. Effective strategies will require stewardship efforts targeting multiple drug classes, genomic surveillance for emerging resistant strains, and interventions extending beyond hospital settings.
Chu, W.-Y.; Alves, F.; Dorlo, T. P. C.
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Introduction Miltefosine is the only approved oral antileishmanial agent, but its use in women of childbearing potential (WOCBP) is restricted due to preclinical teratogenicity. Current labeling recommends contraception during treatment and for at least five months thereafter, based solely on its long terminal elimination half-life. This study re-evaluated the required contraceptive duration using an exposure margin-based approach. Methods Virtual populations were generated from anthropometric data of 382 Indian, 4,462 Eastern African, and 4,019 Brazilian WOCBP with leishmaniasis. Published population pharmacokinetic models were used to simulate miltefosine exposure following 14-42-day regimens for visceral leishmaniasis (VL), post-kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis (PKDL), and cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL). A developmental safety exposure threshold was derived from the rat no-observed-adverse-effect level (0.6 mg/kg/day for 10 days) and adjusted using a 10-fold safety margin. Contraceptive durations resulting in median residual post-contraception exposure (AUCEOC-{infty}) below this threshold were considered supportive of contraceptive discontinuation. Results The developmental safety exposure threshold was estimated at 2.5 mg{middle dot}day/L. Despite pharmacokinetic differences across geographical regions and disease manifestations, required minimum contraceptive durations were consistent: three months from treatment initiation for the 14-day regimen, four months for 21- and 28-day regimens, and five months for the 42-day regimen. For the 14-day regimen, a single dose of a long-acting injectable contraceptive administered at treatment initiation would provide sufficient coverage. Conclusion An exposure margin-based approach supports shorter contraceptive durations than current recommendations. For the 14-day VL regimen, three months of contraception may provide a practical alternative to current labeling.
da Silva, K.; Sarkodie, S.; Marques, K.; Vieira, P.; Oliveira, R. D. d.; Pereira dos Santos, P. C.; Moreira Puga, M. A.; Costa, A. G.; Gregorio Machado, J. P.; Spener-Gomes, R.; Yang, E.; Savic, R.; Cordeiro-Santos, M.; Croda, J.; Andrews, J. R.
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Background: Polymorphisms in the N-acetyltransferase 2 (NAT2) gene explain much of the interindividual variation in isoniazid (INH) metabolism and determine risk of toxicities. However, there is limited evidence to guide INH dose adjustment according to the NAT2 acetylator profile in weekly rifapentine-INH tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT). Methods: In a prospective, multicenter, within-subject PK trial (NCT05413551), adults initiating 3HP in Brazil were assigned genotype-guided INH doses (slow: 5 mg/kg <=300 mg; intermediate: 15 mg/kg <=900 mg; rapid: 25 mg/kg <=1,500 mg) alongside a standard 900 mg flat dose on an alternate occasion. AUC0-24 and C24 were estimated from serial blood samples; a two-compartment Michaelis-Menten population PK model characterized NAT2 effects on clearance. Results: Among 228 participants, 47.4% (108/228) were intermediate, 43.4% (99/228) slow, and 9.2% (21/228) rapid acetylators. Genotype-guided dosing reduced AUC0-24 variability approximately two-fold versus standard dosing (CV 58.8% vs 76.8%) and increased exposure uniformity (median AUC0-24 27.2 [IQR 18.8-41.3] vs 43.2 [27.3-71.0] mg h/L). Among slow acetylators, C24 >0.15 ug/mL decreased from 27/42 (64%) with standard dosing to 1/42 (2%) with genotype-guided dosing (P<0.0001). In 104 participants with intensive PK sampling, rapid acetylators receiving guided doses had AUC0-24 similar to standard-dose intermediate acetylators (42.8 vs 39.5 mg h/L; P=.63). Monte Carlo simulations supported doses of 600, 900, and 1,200 mg for slow, intermediate, and rapid acetylators, respectively. Conclusions: NAT2-guided isoniazid dosing reduced variation in drug levels, averting very low and high AUC and C24. These findings inform genotype-stratified dosing of INH for TPT, which might reduce toxicities and improve outcomes.
Watts, K.; Lin, R. C.; Lynch, S.; Warning, J.; Barr, J. J.; Ben Zakour, N.; Campbell, A.; Chan, J.; Collie, L.; Hedges, M.; Hudson, B.; Irwin, A.; Khatami, A.; Kicic, A.; Laucirica, D.; Lauter, C.; Ling, K.-m.; Ng, R.; Pavuk, N.; Rahmatullah, R.; Sinclair, H.; Tucker, E.; Vreugde, S.; Warner, M.; Velickovic, Z.; iredell, j.
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Objective As antimicrobial resistance (AMR) continues to threaten global public health, bacteriophage therapy products (BTPs) offer a promising alternative to conventional antimicrobials. However, translation into routine clinical practice requires best practice standards for manufacturing and quality control to ensure the consistent safety, quality, and reliability of personalised BTPs produced for individual patients or small cohorts. Design A modified Delphi methodology was used to develop consensus statements, engaging experts from Australia's National Bacteriophage Therapy Regulatory Working Group across the fields of clinical microbiology, phage biology, good manufacturing practice (GMP), regulatory science, and government. The process comprised three iterative phases: (1) structured statement development, (2) an anonymous REDCap survey, and (3) a hybrid consensus meeting. The strength of evidence and recommendations was assessed using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) framework. Results Consensus was reached on 35 statements to provide best practice manufacture and quality control guidance for BTPs. These statements address requirements for phage identification and characterisation; define the point at which GMP-aligned processes commence for ubiquitous phages; outline quality control expectations for phage active pharmaceutical ingredient (pAPI) production and maintenance of BTP and host cell repositories. Additional guidance covers quality management systems, including documentation, traceability, and governance. Conclusion These consensus statements provide comprehensive best practice recommendations for the manufacture and quality control of BTPs in Australia. By promoting consistent, safe, and quality-assured approaches to personalised BTPs, they aim to facilitate clinical implementation while remaining aligned with existing international pharmacopoeial standards and regulatory frameworks.
Hessel, M.; Inda Diaz, J. S.; Sjöberg, A.; Salva-Serra, F.; Helldal, L.; Jirstrand, M.; Johnning, A.; Kristiansson, E.; Skovbjerg, S.
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Antimicrobial resistance is a public health challenge, driving the need for rapid, cost-effective diagnostic support tools. Artificial intelligence (AI) may enable prediction of susceptibility to untested antibiotics from known susceptibility results, but prospective clinical validation is required before routine use. We evaluated an AI-based decision support method, trained on invasive isolates from the European Surveillance System (TESSy), for prediction of antibiotic susceptibility in clinical Escherichia coli urine isolates. The evaluation included 99 E. coli isolates from urine samples with diversity in age, sex, and antibiotic susceptibility. Predictions were evaluated for 14 antibiotics using patient metadata and susceptibility results for 4-8 antibiotics as input. Prediction uncertainty was handled using conformal prediction, allowing abstention when confidence was insufficient. EUCAST disk diffusion test results were used as reference and genomic sequence data was used to explore mechanisms of the AI performance. Without conformal prediction, 84% of predictions were correct when susceptibility results of six antibiotics were used to predict susceptibility to eight additional antibiotics. Across all predictions generated using susceptibility results for six antibiotics as input, the major and very major error rates were 19% and 12%, respectively. Prediction errors varied between antibiotics and were associated with certain phenotypic and genotypic resistance patterns. Conformal prediction reduced errors but increased abstentions; at confidence levels of 90%, 95%, and 97.5%, the model abstained in 9.6%, 14%, and 22% of instances. The method showed promising performance, but its clinical use remains limited and may require diagnostic data beyond susceptibility test results and demographic variables.
Chimpandule, T.; Tweya, H.; Goeke, L.; Masina, T.; Macheso, S.; Low, N.; Jahn, A.; Imai-Eaton, J. W. W.
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Background: In 2019, WHO recommended three consecutive reactive serological test results for HIV diagnosis to reduce false-positive diagnoses. Malawi changed from a two-test to a three-test strategy in 2022 as HIV test positivity declined. We assessed diagnostic performance, implementation fidelity, and costs. Methods: We analysed national HIV testing data from Nov 1, 2022, to Oct 31, 2025. Using observed three-test classifications as the reference standard, we reconstructed classifications under the two-test strategy. We estimated positive predictive value (PPV), implementation fidelity, potential false-positive diagnoses prevented, incremental costs, and time to offset testing costs through avoided antiretroviral therapy expenditure. Results: Among 9,885,599 encounters eligible for implementation-fidelity analysis, 99.98% followed a valid three-test pathway. The diagnostic-performance analysis included 9,862,908 encounters, of which 171,351 (1.7%) were classified HIV-positive and 9,138 (0.09%) were inconclusive. Under the two-test strategy, 1,209 inconclusive encounters with a T1+/T2+/T3- sequence would have been classified as HIV-positive. Retesting and reference-laboratory data indicated that 82.5% of these would subsequently be classified as HIV-negative, corresponding to 997 false-positive diagnoses prevented (10.3 per 100 000 three-test non-positive encounters; 95% CI 9.7-10.9). Retesting within 1-2 weeks was associated with the highest odds of potential false-positive classification (adjusted OR 39.37, 95% CrI 30.63-50.61). The incremental cost was US$471 per false-positive diagnosis averted and was offset within 7.30 years. Conclusions: Malawi's transition to a three-test HIV testing strategy prevented false-positive diagnoses and unnecessary antiretroviral therapy at modest cost, supporting broader adoption of WHO guidance in similar settings. Funding: Gates Foundation.
Edmond, E. C.; Dreyer, A. J.; Winston, A.; Khoo, S. H.; Joska, J.; Nightingale, S.
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Background Computerised cognitive testing may address the global challenge in identifying cognitive changes in people living with HIV scalably and affordably. We assessed a computerised battery (CB) of cognitive tests, in a prospective cohort (CONNECT) of people with HIV in a low-income peri-urban area of Cape Town, South Africa during a national programmatic switch from efavirenz- to dolutegravir-based antiretroviral therapy (ART). Methods We recruited 170 people with HIV and 91 people without HIV (controls) (140[82%] and 41[45%] followed up). The CB and gold-standard pen&paper cognitive testing (P&P) were performed at both timepoints. Technology familiarity/use questionnaire data were also collected. We compared performance in detecting lower group-level cognitive performance associated with efavirenz treatment. Furthermore, the CB was compared to P&P in classifying individuals with low cognitive performance, correlation of global test scores and domain-level scores between batteries, and practice effects between timepoints. Exploratory principal component analysis was also performed. Results People with HIV on efavirenz at baseline had lower performance on the computerised battery than controls, {Delta}T=2.6, p=0.0047. This difference was lost after switching to dolutegravir-based ART at follow-up. CB and P&P global T were moderately correlated (R2=0.203, p<0.001), and the CB performed moderately in classification of low cognitive performance against the gold standard (AUC 0.70, sensitivity 0.52, specificity 0.76, PPV 0.40, and NPV 0.84). Selecting the first three principal components improved both classification of low cognitive performance (AUC 0.77) and correlation strength with P&P global T (R2=0.3, p<0.001). The CB did not show practice effects. Most participants owned a mobile phone (95%, 85.9% of these smartphones). Performance was better in smartphone owners ({Delta}T=1.8) and computer owners (23%, {Delta}T=1.8). Conclusions Delivering computerised cognitive testing was feasible in this low-income southern African setting. The CB showed reasonable construct validity (detecting known lower cognitive performance associated with efavirenz-ART) and may detect broad cognitive characteristics such as processing speed and accuracy. However, correlation of CB results with gold standard P&P testing was low-moderate and may limit its applicability as a diagnostic tool. This might be improved by including a wider range of cognitive domains tested in the CB, or data driven analysis. Brief CBs may fulfil an initial screening role, followed by more detailed clinical assessment.
Li, D.; Chen, H.; Shen, C.
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Background: Refractory and macrolide-resistant Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) has emerged as a major challenge in pediatric respiratory medicine, amplified by the post-2023 resurgence. However, a systematic overview of the research landscape specific to treatment-refractory and drugresistant disease in children remains lacking. Methods: Research articles and reviews on pediatric refractory or macrolide-resistant MPP published between 2000 and 2025 were retrieved from OpenAlex using Boolean searches. After screening, 2,286 records were quantitatively analyzed for annual output, contributing countries/institutions, thematic clusters, and citation-burst dynamics using Python. Results: Annual publications grew exponentially, with a pronounced surge after 2023 (n=378 in 2025). China produced the highest volume (45.1%) but recorded fewer citations per publication than the US, Japan, and Canada. The literature resolved into four clusters: macrolide resistance/molecular basis, epidemiology, etiology/co-infection, and refractory disease management. Burst analysis showed an evolution from earlier fronts like 23S rRNA mutations and azithromycin to recent emerging trends like pandemic-related co-circulation, genotype surveillance, and co-infection. Conclusions: Research on pediatric refractory and resistant MPP is expanding rapidly, shifting in emphasis from etiologic descriptions toward resistance mechanisms and clinical management. Standardizing the treatment of macrolide-unresponsive disease and post-pandemic epidemiological surveillance represent the principal directions for future work. Keywords: Mycoplasma pneumoniae; children; macrolide resistance; refractory pneumonia; bibliometric analysis; research trends
Omani, R.; Maina, G. N.; Fasina, F. O.
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Public genomic repositories can support antimicrobial resistance (AMR) surveillance, but unequal sampling can bias interpretation. We characterised AMR determinants, multicountry genomic cluster overlap and surveillance gaps across Africa using an NCBI Pathogen Detection snapshot retrieved on 24 August 2026 for 55 African Union member states. Records were validated and deduplicated by BioSample, and complete AMRFinderPlus calls were summarised across five United Nations M49 subregions and eight overlapping regional economic communities (RECs). Country-pair cluster overlap was assessed using the Jaccard index, while project-based and composition-standardised sensitivity analyses evaluated repository bias. The dataset contained 86,829 unique BioSamples from 51 states; South Africa, Malawi and Kenya contributed 55.8%. Complete extended-spectrum {beta}-lactamase calls were detected in 21,513 isolates and carbapenemase calls in 4,642. blaCTX-M-15 dominated the ESBL profile, while NDM and OXA types predominated. Seventy clusters contained carbapenemase-positive isolates from at least two countries. A shared REC covered all participating countries in 38 clusters, while 32 crossed REC boundaries. Normalised country-pair overlap was low, with a maximum Jaccard index of 9.5%. Project balancing reduced the Northern African carbapenemase estimate from 32.3% to 17.9% and the Eastern African ESBL estimate from 36.9% to 12.5%. Public repositories identify determinants and clusters for investigation but do not estimate prevalence or transmission. AMR surveillance should combine national confirmation, regional institution-led investigation where countries share an REC, and continent-wide coordination through Africa CDC for cross-REC signals, supported by representative One Health sampling, standardised metadata and sustained African sequencing capacity.
MURHABAZI BASHOMBWA, A.; TCHIO-NIGHIE, K. H.; NANA DJAPOU, M. C.; BUH NKUM, C.; BLAMA ABBA, I.; BEKOLO, C. E.; ATEUDJIEU, J.
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Health facilities (HFs) routinely administer medicines and are expected to ensure patient safety by detecting, reporting, investigating, and analysing adverse events following exposure to drugs (AEFED). This study aimed to assess the implementation of pharmacovigilance activities in referral and regional health facilities in Cameroon and to identify pharmacovigilance training needs among healthcare personnel (HP). This was a cross-sectional descriptive study targeting referral and regional health facilities and healthcare personnel involved in patient care and pharmacovigilance activities in Cameroon. Health facilities were selected using stratified purposive sampling, while healthcare personnel were selected through exhaustive sampling. Data were collected using semi-structured electronic questionnaires administered face-to-face by trained enumerators. The questionnaires assessed the organization, resources, and implementation of pharmacovigilance activities at health facilities, as well as healthcare personnel knowledge of pharmacovigilance concepts, previous training, and perceived training needs. Of the 14 eligible health facilities, 10 (71.4%) consented to participate in the study. Of the 10 health facilities, 4 (40.0%) had an established pharmacovigilance unit, while 3 (30.0%) reported conducting neither detection nor notification activities. Among the 261 healthcare personnel approached, 214 (81.9%) participated. Only 41.6% had needed knowledge to detect an adverse event, while 72.9% were aware of adverse event notification procedures. Previous exposure to pharmacovigilance training was reported by 37.9% of healthcare personnel, and all participants expressed a need for additional training, particularly on national pharmacovigilance regulations (69.2%), organization of the pharmacovigilance system (67.3%), and adverse event detection (67.3%). The main reported challenges by healthcare personnel in the implementation of pharmacovigilance activities included insufficient budget allocation, limited access to pharmacovigilance training, lack of pharmacovigilance guidelines and insufficient qualified human resources. Pharmacovigilance implementation in referral and regional health facilities in Cameroon remains limited, with gaps in organizational structures, resources, healthcare personnel knowledge, and training. Strengthening pharmacovigilance systems through improved facility capacity, availability of essential tools, and targeted healthcare personnel training is needed to enhance drug safety surveillance.
Mukherjee, E. M.; Asiaee, A.; Park, D.; Krantz, M. S.; Stone, C. A.; Martin-Pozo, M.; Phillips, E. J.
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Importance: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) produce diverse immune toxicities, but whether checkpoint blockade also modifies associations between other drugs and adverse events is poorly understood. Objective: To define ICI-associated toxicity organization and determine whether drug-associated adverse events and onset vary with ICI exposure and checkpoint pathway. Design and Setting: Cross-sectional analysis of deduplicated FAERS reports from 2016 through 2025; analyses performed in 2026. Participants: Among 13,701,106 deduplicated reports, 2,365,269 were cancer associated and 256,940 contained an ICI. Median age among cancer reports with observed age was 66 years (IQR, 56-75 years); 1,031,999 (43.6%) were female and 1,003,154 (42.4%) were male. Exposures: ICI exposure in any reported drug role, individual primary-suspect drugs, and checkpoint-pathway exposure. Main Outcomes and Measures: Reporting odds ratios (ORs), cross-organ adverse-event communities, adjusted primary-suspect drug x ICI interaction ORs for Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis (SJS/TEN), drug reaction with eosinophilia and systemic symptoms (DRESS), acute generalized exanthematous pustulosis (AGEP), interstitial nephritis, drug-induced liver injury (DILI), and vomiting (VOM), and accelerated failure-time model time ratios for documented onset. Results: Of 3001 eligible Preferred Terms in cancer-associated reports, 2091 differed at a false discovery rate (FDR) less than .05. Four cross-organ toxicity communities were identified. Of 138 eligible drug-phenotype pairs, 65 had FDR-significant interactions, including moxifloxacin-SJS/TEN amplification (interaction OR, 101.72; 95% CI, 39.11-264.55), enfortumab vedotin-SJS/TEN attenuation (interaction OR, 0.17; 95% CI, 0.13-0.23), and omeprazole-interstitial nephritis amplification (interaction OR, 10.35; 95% CI, 7.62-14.05). Among 60,324 reports contributing to temporal analyses, ICI exposure was associated with longer adjusted documented time to onset for 5 of 6 phenotypes (time ratios, 1.37-1.59) but not AGEP (time ratio, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.67-1.46). Temporal associations also differed across checkpoint pathways. Conclusions and Relevance: ICIs were associated with a structured cross-organ toxicity landscape, phenotype-specific modification of drug-associated adverse events, and distinct temporal patterns across checkpoint pathways. These findings support checkpoint blockade as a modifier of drug-associated toxicity and motivate longitudinal and mechanistic validation.
Khan, Z.; McCarthy, C.; Dalton, K.; Jungo, K. T.; Doherty, A. S.; Reeve, E.; Moriarty, F.
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Background: Adverse drug withdrawal events (ADWEs) are a key safety concern during deprescribing but remain poorly explored in pharmacovigilance systems. Objectives: To identify and compare ADWE signals across drug classes, different drugs within drug classes, and across patient characteristics, countries, and over time. Methods: A case/non-case disproportionality analysis was conducted in FDA-FAERS and EMA-EudraVigilance pharmacovigilance databases, with stratification by age (adults: 18-64, older adults: [≥]65), sex (male/female), reporting time (2004-2023 in 5-year intervals), and country (for EMA data). Disproportionality analysis (quantitative signal detection) was used to detect signals between ADWEs and drugs using the proportional reporting rate (PRR[≥]2), reporting odds ratio (ROR>1), and information component (IC>0) with case count [≥]5. Results: Overall, 158,501 reports (FDA-FAERS 145,514; EMA-EudraVigilance 12,987) included drug-event pairs related to ADWEs. In FDA-FAERS, clobetasone (IC=5.58; PRR=79.18; ROR=176.90) showed the strongest ADWE signals, followed by hydromorphone (4.85; 29.94; 37.37), hydrocodone, and paroxetine. In EMA-EudraVigilance, ethyl loflazepate (IC=6.01; PRR=119.80; ROR=197.53), clobetasone (5.39; 102.73; 155.10), veralipride, and levomethadone had the strongest signals. Most drugs maintained positive ADWE signals in analysis stratified into adults and older adults. However, among the top 10 drugs (based on highest IC values), buprenorphine/naloxone, desvenlafaxine, and baclofen in FDA-FAERS (ICs 4.95-6.05) showed stronger signals in older adults. A sex-based difference was observed, with paroxetine, venlafaxine, and buprenorphine/naloxone showing a stronger positive signal in females in both databases, whereas several opioids had stronger signals in males versus females across both databases. Conclusion: This study suggests ADWE signals for some medications differ by age and sex, potentially indicating different risks for withdrawal effects.
Werner, A. P.; Sachithanandham, J.; Akin, E.; Talukdar, S.; Pinsley, M.; Pekosz, A.
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H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza A viruses pose a significant threat to wild animal populations, domesticated animals, and potentially, the human population. For H5N1s to infect and transmit among mammalian species, mutations for improved utilization of mammalian receptors and enhanced replication at the lower temperatures of the upper respiratory tract need to be acquired. A human H1N1pdm09-like virus was compared to H5N1 genotypes B3.13 and D1.1 for replication at 33{o}C, 37{o}C, and 39{o}C - temperatures consistent with the upper and lower respiratory tract in humans, and dairy cow udder tissue. All H5N1 viruses had increased plaque sizes on MDCK cells at 37{o}C and 39{o}C compared to H1N1pdm09. In primary, differentiated human nasal and bronchial epithelial cultures, all H5N1 viruses show restricted infectious virus production compared to H1N1 at 33{o}C. While H5N1 D1.1 also showed restricted replication at 37{o}C and 39{o}C, the H5N1 B3.13 replicated to nearly equivalent titers as H1N1pdm09. All H5N1 viruses demonstrated similar cell tropism in cells from the upper and lower respiratory tract, infecting more ciliated than non-ciliated cells relative to H1N1pdm09. H1N1, H5N1 B3.13 D1.1 infection induced similar innate immune factors, with nasal epithelial cells producing higher levels compared to bronchial epithelial cells. These data suggest that genotype B3.13 and D1.1 H5N1 viruses show different temperature dependent replication patterns compared to H1N1pdm09.
Yendewa, G.; Chengsupanimit, T.; Dehghani, A.; Ahmed, A.; Mohareb, A.; Cohen, C.; Freeman, M.; Kim, H. N.; Ofotokun, I.; Dube, K.
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Background: HIV/HBV coinfection is associated with substantial liver-related morbidity and mortality, yet the impact of social vulnerability (SV) on clinical outcomes has not been systematically assessed. We evaluated associations of multidimensional SV with mortality, hepatic, virologic, and extrahepatic organ outcomes among adults with HIV/HBV. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using TriNetX data from 110 U.S. healthcare organizations (2010-2026). We propensity score matched adults with HIV/HBV with and without documented SV 1:1 (2,024 per group). SV was defined using a four-domain framework encompassing material, healthcare access and engagement, interpersonal, and psychosocial vulnerability. Results: Over 15,900 person-years, SV was associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.72-2.47), liver composite events (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.07-1.76), hepatic decompensation (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.39-2.70), hepatic failure (HR, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.53-3.73), HBV viremia (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.32-2.16), and HIV viremia (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.71-2.46). SV was also associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 1.47), chronic kidney disease (HR, 1.49), and diabetes (HR, 1.25). Multidomain SV generally showed stronger associations than single-domain SV for most hepatic and virologic outcomes, with HR ranges of 1.76-2.62 versus 1.35-1.76 for single-domain SV. Healthcare access and engagement vulnerability was most consistently associated with mortality and hepatic outcomes. Conclusions: SV was associated with mortality, hepatic disease, impaired HIV/HBV control, extrahepatic organ morbidity, and acute care utilization in adults with HIV/HBV. SV assessment may improve risk stratification and identify actionable intervention targets during HIV/HBV care.
Gorenshtein, A.; Adiniaev, Y.; Srour, A.; Klang, E.; Daniel, O.
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Objective: Whether a scheduled antiseizure medication (ASM) continues on schedule across the ICU-to-floor transfer has not been characterized. We quantified ASM administration-gap frequency across this transfer and compared it with gap frequency during matched non-transfer intervals in the same patient and drug. Methods: In this retrospective MIMIC-IV (version 3.1) cohort study, we identified epilepsy and status-epilepticus admissions with an ICU stay followed by floor transfer and a scheduled ASM order active at ICU departure. A gap was defined as an interval exceeding 1.5 times the expected dosing interval between the last ICU dose and first floor dose, or no further dose before discharge, and compared with a matched non-transfer control interval in the same patient and drug (paired McNemar test). A multivariable model evaluated six prespecified clinical predictors; sociodemographic variables were summarized descriptively. Results: Among 2,469 ASM transition-by-drug observations (1,583 admissions, 1,335 patients), an administration gap occurred in 251 (10.2%; 95% CI, 8.7%-11.7%). Gap frequency across the transfer exceeded frequency during matched non-transfer control intervals in the same patient and drug: a paired rate difference of 5.8 percentage points (95% CI, 4.4-7.1; 7.5% vs 1.7%; P = 7.3 x 10^-22) before the transfer and 6.4 percentage points (95% CI, 4.9-7.9; 8.9% vs 2.5%; P = 1.9 x 10^-23) after. Gap rates were similar for intravenous-available (9.9%) and oral-only (11.4%) drugs (rate difference, 1.5 percentage points; 95% CI, -1.6 to 4.5; P = .34). None of six prespecified predictors reached significance after correction. Significance: An antiseizure medication administration gap occurred in approximately 1 of every 10 drug-transition observations at the ICU-to-floor transfer, exceeding matched non-transfer gap rates by 5.8 to 6.4 percentage points. This transfer-associated excess, rather than any single medication or patient characteristic, supports a structured medication-continuity check.
Choi, L.; McNeer, E.; Beck, C. A.; Neul, J. L.
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Bayesian borrowing of external information can improve trial efficiency, particularly in pediatric and rare disease settings where patient populations are limited, but may introduce bias and inflate the Type~I error rate when the trial differs from external studies. Recent U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) draft Bayesian guidance emphasizes careful evaluation of external information, prior specification, and assessment of operating characteristics. This paper compares three meta-analytic-predictive (MAP)-based methods for Bayesian borrowing: the MAP prior, robust MAP (RMAP) prior, and self-adapting mixture (SAM) prior. An adaptive platform trial design in Rett syndrome is used as a case study. Simulation studies evaluate frequentist operating characteristics under varying prior--data conflict, between-study heterogeneity, treatment effects, and clinically significant differences (CSDs) for the SAM prior. The MAP prior achieved the greatest efficiency when external and current data were compatible but exhibited the largest bias under substantial prior--data conflict. The RMAP priors improved robustness through fixed robust-component weights, whereas the SAM prior adaptively adjusted borrowing and was less sensitive to prior--data conflict while retaining efficiency gains when the data were compatible. Although the CSD influenced the degree of adaptive borrowing, as reflected by effective sample size, it had only a modest impact on frequentist operating characteristics. Sensitivity analyses using a skeptical robust component yielded similar qualitative conclusions, while accentuating the differences between the MAP and RMAP priors. These findings provide guidance for evaluating and selecting MAP-based borrowing strategies before trial implementation, particularly in rare disease settings, consistent with current FDA recommendations.
Chatzilena, A.; Hyams, C.; Challen, R.; Lahuerta, M.; McGuinness, S.; Clout, M.; Begier, E.; King, J.; Morales-Aza, B.; Duale, K.; Rodriguez Pereira, A.; Healy, W.; Southern, J.; Wells, P.; Lihou, K.; Grimes, C.; Campling, J. A.; Maskell, N.; Oliver, J.; Vyse, A.; Gessner, B.; Finn, A.; Danon, L.; The AvonCAP Research Group,
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Introduction Acute lower respiratory tract disease (aLRTD) is a leading cause of hospitalisation and death, particularly in older adults and adults with comorbidities, with acute lower respiratory tract infection (aLRTI; pneumonia and non-pneumonic LRTI) being a major component. Non-pulmonary complications and functional decline after aLRTI are recognised, but their pathogen-specific burden is poorly described. We aimed to quantify renal, hepatic, thromboembolic and functional complications, and mortality, after aLRTI hospitalisation, by clinical phenotype and pathogen. Methods We conducted a cohort study of adults (>18 years) admitted with aLRTD to two hospitals in Bristol, UK (01 August 2022-31 July 2024). aLRTD was classified as pneumonia, non-pneumonic LRTI (NP-LRTI) or no diagnosis of aLRTI. Pathogens were identified from standard-of-care and research microbiology. Outcomes were acute kidney injury (AKI), acute liver dysfunction, venous thromboembolism (VTE), in-hospital falls, reduced mobility at discharge, increased care requirements, and 30-day and 1-year mortality. Analyses were descriptive. Results Among 246,797 adult admissions, 21,456 aLRTD hospitalisations were included: 10,239 (47.7%) pneumonia, 7,742 (36.1%) NP-LRTI and 3,475 (16.2%) with no evidence of aLRTI. Of 19,152 tested aLRTD admissions, 8,503 (44.4%) had a positive microbiological/virological test, yielding 9,204 pathogen detections; 1,194 (6.2%) had co-infections, and SARS-CoV-2 was most frequent, with influenza the second most common in pneumonia and NP-LRTI. Pneumonia had greater severity than NP-LRTI and no diagnosis of aLRTI (median length of stay 6 vs 4 vs 4 days; ICU admission 3.4% vs 0.7% vs 0.5%, respectively). Overall, 22.2% developed AKI, 6.1% acute liver dysfunction, 0.6% DVT and 2.4% PE; 1.8% had a fall, 11.5% reduced mobility, and 16.6% required increased care at discharge. 30-day and 1-year mortality were highest for pneumonia (14.0% and 32.0%, respectively). Pathogen-specific analyses showed longer stays and higher complications and mortality rates for SARS-CoV-2 and Streptococcus pneumoniae, and shorter stays with lower complication and mortality rates for influenza and Haemophilus influenzae. Conclusions Non-cardiovascular complications and functional decline after aLRTI were common, particularly in pneumonic and SARS-CoV-2 or pneumococcal disease. These findings support routine surveillance for renal, hepatic, thromboembolic events, early mobilisation and rehabilitation, and consideration of multi-system outcomes when evaluating public health and economic value of vaccines and therapies.
Nankya, M. A.; Owor, N.; Kayiwa, J. T.; Lutwama, J. J.; Gidudu, S.; Bahizi, G.; Ario, A. R.
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Background: Seasonal influenza, commonly known as flu, is an acute respiratory, highly contagious illness caused by influenza viruses. A clear understanding of influenza seasonality is crucial for guiding prevention and treatment strategies, including decisions on vaccination timing to prevent outbreaks. While well documented in temperate regions, data on influenza epidemiology in tropical areas, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, remain limited. We described the types, subtypes and positivity rate of seasonal influenza in Uganda during 2019-2023. Methods: We abstracted data from the National Influenza database on positive seasonal influenza cases confirmed by Polymerase Chain Reaction. The cases were disaggregated by age group, sex, region, month and year of reporting. Using Microsoft excel, we calculated the influenza positivity rate and disaggregated it by strain, sex, age, region and time. Test positivity rate was computed as the number of positive cases as a percentage of the total samples tested. Results: Among 17,957 individuals tested, the overall positivity rate for seasonal influenza was 5% (936 cases). Positivity was higher among males compared to females (7% vs. 4%), with children aged 5-9 years having the highest positivity rate (16%), while individuals aged 50-54 years had the lowest (1%). The median positivity rate was 4%, with a range of 1-16%. Regionally, the central region reported a positivity rate of 5%, with rates across all regions ranging from 5% to 8%. Over time, there was a gradual decline in positivity rates, decreasing from 16.5% in 2019 to 5.3% in 2023. Seasonal influenza exhibited bimodal peaks, with the primary peak occurring between March and May and a secondary peak from October to December. Influenza A was the predominant strain, accounting for 70% of seasonal influenza cases (669/936). Among the Influenza A subtypes, H3N2 was most common, representing 63% of cases (425/669). Conclusions: The declining seasonal influenza positivity rates from 2019 to 2023 and the predominance of Influenza A and H3N2 highlight the need for sustained surveillance in Uganda. Given Influenza A's high genetic variability and potential for novel strain emergence, monitoring circulating strains, informing vaccine development, and implementing targeted interventions for high-risk groups and regions are critical to controlling and preventing outbreaks.
Orfano, A.; Cisse, A.; Guo, Y.; Han, L.; Fikadu, N.; Thiam, L. G.; Ba, A.; Li, R.; Pouye, M. N.; Mangou, K.; Moore, A. J.; Sene, S. D.; Diallo, F.; Ngom, E. M.; Sadio, B.; Mbengue, A.; Membi, C.; Ngasala, B.; Bazie, T.; Some, F. A.; Olson, N.; Patel, S. D.; Shapiro, L.; Parikh, S.; Foy, B. D.; Cappello, M.; Vigan-Womas, I.; Premji, Z.; Dabire, R. K.; Ouedraogo, J.-B.; Sheng, Z.; Bei, A. K.
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Transmission-blocking vaccines (TBVs) are a promising strategy to reduce malaria transmission by targeting parasite stages within the mosquito. However, parasite genetic diversity may limit vaccine efficacy. We used next-generation amplicon deep sequencing to identify non-synonymous single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in Pfs25 from 184 Plasmodium falciparum isolates from Senegal, Tanzania, Ghana, and Burkina Faso. Prioritized SNPs were introduced into P. falciparum via CRISPR-Cas9. For the G116C variant, gametocyte development was evaluated by microscopy and qPCR, and mosquito infectivity was assessed by SMFAs. We identified 26 SNPs, including 24 novel variants. Functional assays showed that the Pfs25 G116C mutation did not affect gametocyte development or exflagellation. SMFA showed no significant differences in oocyst prevalence or intensity between mutant and WT parasites. These findings highlight the importance of integrating genetic surveillance with functional validation to guide the development of effective transmission blocking interventions